Preliminary Program

Conference on

Labour Market Transitions and Income Dynamics

Presented by

Canadian Employment Research Forum (CERF)

Statistics Canada - Human Resources Development Canada

A Joint Conference with the Canadian Economics Association

University of Ottawa

28-29 May 1998

Thursday, 28 May

 

Session 1: OPENING

Welcoming remarks   

Craig Riddell, CERF & University of British Columbia (or Ging Wong)

 

 

 

New Federal-Provincial Partnerships and Information Needs

Jim Armstrong, Centre for Strategic Management

 

 

 

New Data Overviews

Maryanne Webber & Garnett Picot, Statistics Canada, Anne Routhier (HRDC) & Thomas Crossley (York University)

 

 

 

 

 Session 2: THE FAMILY

Chair: 

Bob Glossop, Vanier Institute of the Family

 

 

 

Revenue après séparation - le cas des personnes sans enfant

Diane Galarneau & Jim Sturrock, Statistics Canada

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Monica Boyd, Florida State University & Statistics Canada

The Long-Term Consequences of Growing Up With a Single Parent

Miles Corak & Andrew Heisz, Statistics Canada

Discussant:   

Shelley Phipps, Dalhousie University

 

 

 

Multivariate Duration Models, Labour Supply and the Presence of Young Children

Padma Rao Sahib, Concordia University

Discussant:   

Douglas Norris, Statistics Canada

 

 

 

Economic Circumstances and the Stability of Non-Marital Cohabitation

Zheng Wu, University of Victoria

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Guy Lacroix, Université Laval

 

 

 

 

Session 3: INCOME DYNAMICS

Chair: 

Mike Sheridan, Statistics Canada

 

 

 

La dynamique du travail et du revenu dans le secteur culturel canadien

Benoît Laplante, Université du Québec

 

 

 

Discussant:   

(Heritage Canada)

 

 

 

Income and Employment Dynamics in Rural Areas: The Risk of Social Exclusion

Esperanza Vera-Toscano, St. Mary's - Kings' College

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Lars Osberg, Dalhousie University

 

 

 

Earnings Dynamics

David M. Gray, University of Ottawa & Ross Finnie, Queen's University and Statistics Canada

 

 

 

Discussant:   

René Morrissette, Statistics Canada

 

 

 

What Do People Do When They Are Laid Off?

Paul Bernard & Stephane Crespo, Univerité de Montréal, & Johanne Boisjoly, Université du Québec à Rimouski

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Arthur Sweetman, University of Victoria

 

 

 

 

Session 4: UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE 

Chair: 

Norine Smith, Human Resources Development Canada

 

 

 

Structural Estimation of the Effects of UI Benefits in Search Activities

Christian Belzil, Concordia University

 

 

 

Discussant:

 Miles Corak, Statistics Canada

 

 

 

Job Starts and Job Finds: Does UI Subsidize Search or Leisure?

Thomas Crossley & Pokman Chak, York University & Peter Kuhn, McMaster University

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Dwayne Benjamin, University of Toronto

 

 

 

Réclamation de l'assurance-chômage et retour sur le marché du travail

Jean-François Bertrand, Marc Van Audenrode et Jean-Yves Duclos, Université Laval

 

 

 

Discussant:   

David Green, University of British Columbia

 

 

 

Evaluation of 1994 UI Reform Impacts on Canadians

Overview Presentation:

Ging Wong, CERF & HRDC

 

 

 

Panel Discussion:

Peter Kuhn, Stephen Jones, McMaster University, Marc Van Audenrode, Université Laval & Thomas Crossley, York University

 

 

 

Friday, 29 May

 

Session 5: LOW INCOME

Chair: 

Andrew Sharpe, Centre for the Study of Living Standards

 

 

 

The Persistence of Low Income Spells in Canada, 1982-1993

Mireille Laroche, Department of Finance Canada

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Ken Battle, Caledon Institute

 

 

 

Why People Move Into and Out of Low Income?

Nathalie Noreau, Garnett Picot & Myles Zyblock, Statistics Canada

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Peter Kuhn, McMaster University

 

 

 

The Impact of Minimum Wage Increases on the Employment and Earnings of Low-Wage Workers: A Dynamic Analysis Using Longitudinal Data

Jane Friesen & Krishna Pendakur, Simon Fraser University

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Thomas Lemieux, Université de Montréal

 

 

 

 

Session 6: YOUTH

Chair: 

Jean-Pierre Voyer, Human Resources Development Canada

 

 

 

A Dynamic Analysis of the School-to-Work Transition of Post-Secondary Graduates

Ross Finnie, Queens' University & Statistics Canada

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Christopher Ferrall, Queens' University

 

 

 

Estimating the Earnings Losses of Young Displaced Workers

Lori G. Kletzer & Robert W. Fairlie, University of California

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Marc Van Audenrode, Université Laval

 

 

 

The Re-employment Outcomes of Youth

Ging Wong, Christopher Riddell & Gordon Dicks

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Gordon Betcherman, Queens' University and CPPN

 

 

 

 

Session 7: SOCIAL ASSISTANCE

Chair:

Ian McKinnon, Former Deputy Minister, Social Assistance, British Columbia

 

 

 

The Dynamics of Income Assistance: Estimates from the Self-Sufficiency Project     

Christopher Ferrall, Queens' University & Laura Brown, University of Manitoba

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Alice Nakamura, University of Alberta

 

 

 

An Empirical Analysis of the Transitions Between UI, Welfare and the Labour Market in Quebec

Bernard Fortin et Guy Lacroix, Université Laval

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Jon Gruber, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

 

 

 

The Effects of High School Graduation on Income Assistance Recipiency

David Green, University of British Columbia & William Warburton, Government of British Columbia

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Martin Dooley, McMaster University

 

 

 

 

Session 8: EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS I

Chair:

Michael McCracken, Informetrica Ltd.

 

 

 

Transition from Labour Market to Retirement: Determinants of Canada Pension Plan Take-up

Emile Tompa, McMaster University

 

 

 

Discussant:   

John Myles, Florida State University & Statistics Canada

 

 

 

Adverse Selection and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the Canadian Out-of-Employment Panel

Kevin Lang & Nuria Rodriguez-Planas, Boston University

Discussant:   

Lori Kletzer, University of California at Santa Cruz

 

 

 

 

Session 9: EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS II

Chair: 

CERF Co-chair

 

 

 

In and Out of the Labour Market: Long-Term Income Consequences of Interruptions in Women's Paid Work

Shelley Phipps & Peter Burton, Dalhousie University

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Nicole Fortin, Université de Montréal

 

 

 

Hirings and Separations from the Canadian Labour Force Survey

Georges Lemaître, OECD

 

 

 

Discussant:   

Deborah Sunter, Statistics Canada

 

Closing Remarks

 Note: Chairs and Discussants are proposed, to be confirmed.

Return to the CERF main page.